MODERATE
WFP RAM | Food Security Analysis - Lebanon Market Update: Early Market Impact of the Conflict Escalation (11 March 2026)
ReliefWeb Updates4 hours ago
WarCast Score
30/100
GPT Reference
30/100
Summary
Country: Lebanon
Source: World Food Programme
Please refer to the attached file.
Key Highlights
Markets remain broadly functional at the national level, but severe localized disruptions are emerging in conflict-affected areas.
Markets south of the Litani River appeared to have ceased operations, with most monitored shops closed or evacuated and supply deliveries largely halted.
Markets in areas hosting displaced populations are operational, but are experiencing sharp demand increase and initial signs of price growth, particularly in Beirut and parts of Mount Lebanon.
Nationally, supply chains continue to operate and strategic stocks remain available, though delivery disruptions and rationing by distributors are emerging in conflict-affected areas.
Food prices are likely to increase in the coming weeks, primarily driven by higher fuel and logistics costs, sharp demand increase in light of the escalation, and regional energy shocks rather than immediate national food shortages.
The cost of the Food SMEB during the first week of March 2026 stood at USD 42.2, a 3 percent increase compared to the February 2026 average of USD 41 per person, while that of the Food MEB stood at USD 59.5, a five percent increase compared to the February 2026 average of USD 56.8.
Findings are based on a rapid retail market monitoring conducted by WFP between 4 and 6 March 2026 across 236 contracted retailers in all eight governorates, complemented by information from national market actors, and analysis of WFP price monitoring data.
AI Assessment
Threat Level: MODERATE. localized disruptions sharp demand increase price growth
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Identified Entities
Countries & Regions
Lebanon
Threat Indicators
military action
nuclear threat
cyber warfare
terrorism
Key Phrases
"localized disruptions""sharp demand increase""price growth"

