MODERATE2 sources
Afghanistan Situation Update #2: Humanitarian Impact of Afghanistan-Pakistan Military Escalation (18 March 2026)
ReliefWeb Updates1 days ago
Threat Score
27/100
Summary
Countries: Afghanistan, Pakistan
Source: UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
Please refer to the attached file.
HIGHLIGHTS
The conflict between Pakistan and Afghanistan is now in its third week with no signs of abating. Between 26 February and 17 March, 289 civilian casualties (76 killed, 213 injured) have been recorded in Afghanistan, including 59 women and 104 children, who together account for more than half of all victims.
Hostilities have intensified and expanded geographically in that time. Pakistan has conducted airstrikes, artillery, mortar and drone attacks across at least ten Afghan provinces, while de facto authority (DfA) forces have launched ground assaults on border points and carried out drone strikes inside Pakistan, including on Pakistani military positions in Kohat and Rawalpindi.
Strikes have increasingly affected major urban areas. On 14 March, Pakistan conducted airstrikes in Kabul, killing four civilians and injuring 14, following Pakistani statements that a ‘red line’ had been crossed after reported DfA attacks targeting Pakistan’s military installations. On 16 March, additional airstrikes struck multiple locations across Afghanistan, including a drug rehabilitation centre in Kabul – the Omid Addiction Treatment Hospital - with casualty figures still under verification.
Displacement continues. Initial reports indicated that approximately 115,000 people (around 16,400 families) had been displaced by the conflict. As of 17 March, assessments across 75 villages and settlements have verified 40,000 displaced people (over 5,600 families), with more than 318 shelters destroyed or severely damaged. Priority needs include shelter, water, health services and food assistance.
Protection concerns have arisen in displacement sites. Authorities have ordered internally displaced people (IDPs) in seven displacement sites to return to their areas of origin in Chawkay and Nurgal districts in Kunar Province, with two sites already fully vaca
AI Assessment
Threat Level: ELEVATED. Intensified military operations between Pakistan and Afghanistan Significant civilian casualties reported Geographical expansion of hostilities
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Identified Entities
Countries & Regions
AfghanistanPakistan
Weapons & Military
airstrikesartillerymortarsdrones
Threat Indicators
military action
nuclear threat
cyber warfare
terrorism
Key Phrases
"Intensified military operations between Pakistan and Afghanistan""Significant civilian casualties reported""Geographical expansion of hostilities"

